Delta is the 26th named storm of an unusually active Atlantic hurricane season. In Cancun alone, more than 160 shelters were set up. Slow-moving or stalling tropical systems have been coming in recent years - Harvey (2017), Florence (2018) Dorian (2019), and Sally (2020). The models can be a a little “loopy” beyond 10-14 days so we will have to watch how this evolves. Zeta had been dawdling Sunday because it was trapped between two strong high pressure systems to the east and west, said Brian McNoldy, a hurricane researcher at the University of Miami. While the immediate threat is for Central America, I would be remiss as a meteorologist not to at least mention the nagging scenario that the U.S. and European weather models keep painting. Dr. J. Marshall Shepherd, a leading international expert in weather and climate, was the 2013 President of American Meteorological Society (AMS) and is Director of the University of Georgia’s (UGA) Atmospheric Sciences Program. Potential areas of tropical development being monitored, sea surface temperatures are above normal. You may opt-out by. Zeta, the 27th named storm in the busy 2020 hurricane season, lashed across Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula late Monday as a Category 1 hurricane before weakening to a tropical storm. Netflix taps ‘Hollywood of the Middle East’ to produce new series, Argentina football great Maradona to undergo brain surgery, Algeria backs extending OPEC supply cuts, Russia mulls options, Billionaire Jack Ma is $3bn poorer after Ant IPO put on ice. Thousands of tourists had hunkered down in emergency shelters as the storm approached with a potentially life-threatening storm surge. MERIDA Yucatan (NOAA/NHC) – We are at the. There are still a number of stoplights around the vacation destination that have not been repaired since Delta. and PhD in physical meteorology from Florida State University. The forecast track would have Zeta hitting Cozumel and striking the mainland just south of Playa del Carmen. I signed a State of Emergency to begin Alabama’s preparation process. Weather Channel expert Dr. Greg Postel tweeted, “This is about as strong as a tropical cyclone can get. Trees felled by Hurricane Delta barely three weeks earlier still litter parts of Cancún, stacked along roadsides and in parks. Residents were pulling their boats from the water, but the sort of panic buying seen in the run-up to Delta was not evident on Monday. Mexico predicts busier-than-average hurricane season Mexican experts are predicting a higher-than-average number of storms during the 2020 hurricane seasons in … Ultimately, the latest disturbance is not expected to become a major hurricane, but certainly it is worth watching especially if it moves into the Gulf of Mexico and strengthens. The hurricane was downgraded to Category 3 as it approached the peninsula. Zeta – the earliest ever 27th named storm of the Atlantic season – was centered about 90 miles (145km) south-east of Cozumel island on Monday afternoon, the US National Hurricane Center said. “For this year, a more active season is expected in both oceans. Local authorities are taking the storm seriously, but with a distinctly less alarmed tone than when Delta strengthened to a category 4 storm off the coast. The increase in named storms can be attributed to human-induced climate change. October is the 3rd most active month of the Atlantic #hurricane season, behind September and August, respectively. On Tuesday, it had reached “extremely dangerous” Category 4 status. The government was still handing out aid, including sheet roofing, to Yucatán residents hit by Hurricane Delta and Tropical Storm Gamma earlier this month. Hurricane Delta makes landfall in Mexico Delta is the 25th named storm of an unusually active Atlantic hurricane season. While the storm’s center is not projected. © 2020 Forbes Media LLC. This is the second time in history. The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30. For now, just keep an eye on it. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? “We’re rushing to get wood for the windows. The system is not very strong now, but the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has given it a 70% chance of developing into a named storm in the next five days. That is, there will be more tropical storms than on average,” said water commission Director Blanca Jiménez, who noted that Mexican farmers often benefit from the rainfall the storms bring. Atlantic hurricane season has already been very active, but it's not over yet. Of those 25 named storms, 9 made landfall in the contiguous United States, which ties the record from 1916. The National Civil Protection System decreed a red alert for maximum danger in northern Quintana. Time will tell. Prior to UGA, Dr. Shepherd spent 12 years as a Research Meteorologist at NASA-Goddard Space Flight Center and was Deputy Project Scientist for the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission. HWRF forecast for Eta for November 2nd, 2020 as it approaches Central America. pic.twitter.com/5YbXIqN2eV. The Pacific season opened Friday; the Atlantic season begins June. As a reminder, when the season runs out of names on the official list, the Greek alphabet is employed. Some version of Tropical Storm Eta may be lingering around in the Gulf of Mexico more than a week ... [+] from now based on some model projections. Joaquín said he hoped it would not be necessary in most cases to move guests out of their hotels. Hurricane Michael formed southeast of the Yucatán Peninsula on October 1, 2018, strengthened into a named storm on October 7, and then made landfall as a Category 5 hurricane near Mexico Beach, Florida, just three days later. Mexico’s National Water Commission said there will probably be 15 to 18 named storms and hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific, compared to the long-term average of 15. Typical formation locations for tropical cyclones in early November. The governors of US states Alabama and Louisiana declared states of emergency on Tuesday ahead of the storm. The authorities said the emergency shelters had been sanitised to prevent the spread of the coronavirus, which has killed more than 81,000 people in Mexico and battered the key tourism industry. Delta is now a potentially catastrophic category 4 hurricane. It will have some dry air and wind shear to contend with in the Gulf, but other systems have been able to overcome those same inhibitors as long as the Gulf waters remained very warm. A system moving north toward the Yucatán Peninsula and west of Cuba is likely to become the 24th named storm of the season. The 2020 hurricane season breaks a 104-year-old record After Hurricane Delta’s landfall, there have been 10 landfalling named storms in the U.S. in 2020 Named storms this year in the Gulf of Mexico. Dr. Shepherd is the Georgia Athletic Association Distinguished Professor and hosts The Weather Channel’s Weather Geeks Podcast, which can be found at all podcast outlets. The hurricane center said Zeta could bring 4-8in (10-20cm) of rain to Mexico, the Cayman Islands and parts of Cuba, before drenching the central US Gulf coast. Over the weekend, six people died and thousands were forced from their homes as Tropical Storm Gamma triggered floods and landslides in southeastern Mexico. Back in August, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) updated the hurricane season forecast and called for 19 to 25 named storms. We only learned this morning that the hurricane was coming here,” said Laura Mendez, a 54-year-old in Cancun. While 28 storms in a season is historic, it is not unprecedented to have a tropical storm in November, which is the last “official” month of the Atlantic hurricane season. Updated 0857 GMT (1657 HKT) October 2, 2020. The storm could make landfall anywhere from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle, forecasters said. Some model solutions have the storm looping back out over water and moving up over Cuba in about 8 days. Americans cast their votes: Live news, More than 100 million votes cast as Election Day in full swing, Al Jazeera Centre for Public Liberties & Human Rights. Tropical Storm Eta is the 28th named storm of a historic Atlantic hurricane season, which has tied 2005 for most storms on record. In 2004, he was honored at the White House with a prestigious PECASE award. The graphic below shows the typical formation points for hurricanes at this time of the year, and Eta developed right where you would expect it too. Zeta – the earliest ever 27th named storm of the Atlantic season – was centered about 90 miles (145km) south-east of Cozumel island Monday afternoon, the US National Hurricane Center said. Hurricane Delta slammed into Mexico’s Caribbean coast early on Wednesday packing maximum winds of 175kmph (110mph). All Rights Reserved, This is a BETA experience. As Hurricane Laura spreads farther inland across southwest Louisiana, forecasters are beginning to monitor a new tropical. Storm Zeta has strengthened into a hurricane as it churned towards beach resorts on Mexico’s Caribbean coast, which it is expected to rake with strong winds and heavy rain before making possible landfall in the US later this week. There is concern they could become projectiles when Zeta scrapes across the peninsula. With 25 named storms, it is the second most active Atlantic hurricane season on record, behind only the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. from now based on some model projections. The commission predicted 15 to 19 named storms in the Atlantic, compared to the long-term average of 12 named storms. All rights reserved. The commission said that the Atlantic and Pacific combined could produce a total of between seven and nine major hurricanes this year. Yucatan Times October 20, 2020 So far this season, we have seen 23 named storms. Dr. Shepherd received his B.S., M.S. Remember, typhoons are the same as hurricanes, they just get a different name in the western Pacific Ocean basin. The. However, the 28th storm in 2005 was a Subtropical storm added after the season. Soldiers wearing masks and face shields were seen preparing to deploy for relief efforts. The areas covered include the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea.
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